Polls find tight race for GOPs
February 15, 1988
CONCORD, N.H. (AP)—New polls of New Hampshire voters released Sunday suggest the Republican presidential race is an even fight between George Bush and Bob Dole, and Michael Dukakis remains the runaway leader among the Democrats.
The continuing tracking polls by ABC News and the Washington Post found tight races in both parties for the slots behind the leaders in inteviews from Feb. 11-13.
Among the Democrats, Sen. Paul Simon of Illinois and Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri remain tied for second.
Among the Republicans, Rep. Jack Kemp of New York, former television evangelist Pat Robertson and former Delaware Gov. Pete du Pont were tied in the fight for third.
The latest survey among likely GOP primary voters gave Dole 31 percent and Bush 28 percent. Given the poll’s sampling error margin of 6 percentage points, that is a dead heat.
Kemp had 13 percent, Robertson had 11 percent and du Pont had 11 percent. Former Secretary of State Alexander Haig, who dropped out Friday, drew 1 percent. Four percent of the 374 likely voters interviewed by telephone were undecided.
On the Democratic side, Dukakis kept his big lead with 40 percent.
Simon drew 17 percent and Gephardt 16 percent. The Democrat survey also had a sampling error margin of 6 percentage points.
There was also a tie for the next slot.
Jesse Jackson and Sen. Albert Gore Jr. of Tennessee had 7 percent each. Former Arizona Gov. Bruce Babbitt had 6 percent. Former Colorado Sen. Gary Hart had 3 percent. Five percent of the 383 likely Democratic voters interviewed by telephone were undecided or favored someone else.
As with all random sample surveys, these polls are subject to variations because of chance fluctuations in the sample. For polls based on about 400 interviews, that sampling error margin is 6 percent either way. That is, if all New Hampshire likely voters with telephones were interviewed, the results of these polls would vary by 6 percentage points simply because of chance variations in the sample.